Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 10.813540 12.345385 14.023179 15.998266 18.261213 20.774743 23.780926
2026-01-18 8.472051 10.414056 12.706411 15.615890 19.216560 23.534696 29.119104
2026-01-25 7.124606 9.229517 11.850006 15.359677 19.949938 25.767114 33.727537
2026-02-01 6.164225 8.336263 11.161049 15.115604 20.529216 27.710468 38.010013
2026-02-08 5.421027 7.609026 10.564268 14.863642 20.987807 29.441947 42.075831
2026-02-15 4.822927 6.997889 10.036421 14.611772 21.365443 31.028602 46.014156
2026-02-22 4.577014 6.849161 10.124828 15.218208 22.991129 34.492005 52.958560
2026-03-01 4.267733 6.569526 9.985013 15.454932 24.062466 37.198517 58.979852
2026-03-08 3.926688 6.204747 9.676467 15.390816 24.642904 39.175137 64.005078
2026-03-15 3.614843 5.853828 9.352558 15.261565 25.088976 40.949768 68.828566
2026-03-22 3.474029 5.761277 9.423415 15.765238 26.591712 44.533898 76.956716
2026-03-29 3.328319 5.645746 9.442928 16.177192 27.963481 47.996288 85.168205
2026-04-05 3.208531 5.566589 9.520492 16.701784 29.587744 52.051691 94.858008
2026-04-12 2.941187 5.210340 9.097339 16.314944 29.569553 53.227345 99.439842
2026-04-19 2.720819 4.917771 8.759378 16.046542 29.731788 54.721712 104.722995
2026-04-26 2.524133 4.651243 8.445125 15.791228 29.888222 56.203253 110.093433
2026-05-03 2.344828 4.401916 8.141567 15.527656 29.999927 57.596843 115.397843
2026-05-10 2.181874 4.170133 7.851837 15.264187 30.083867 58.932224 120.687648
2026-05-17 2.147697 4.181188 8.018639 15.898561 31.984140 63.970522 134.005974
2026-05-24 2.067425 4.095765 7.992774 16.146200 33.121995 67.568643 144.628407
2026-05-31 1.956582 3.940990 7.819178 16.079127 33.603397 69.856184 152.637888
2026-06-07 1.846747 3.779909 7.620831 15.943916 33.927424 71.834255 160.137460
2026-06-14 1.813416 3.773360 7.734129 16.470821 35.706317 77.043589 175.342677